Finance Forecast For 2009

The previous year posed difficult challenges to the-The Persian Gulf.
banking and investment industries. As theOil and gas prices continue to decline and as a
government struggles to salvage what's left ofresult, the Persian Gulf and Russia will concentrate
the economy, a lot of people are hopeful that thison local efforts. Investments in the US will be put
year will see better times for the country. Moveson hold. China, already plagued with slow progress
by the government to allot funds for addressingover the years, continues to experience even
the problems leads people to believe the crisis willlower growth rates.
ease off. Some experts believe though, thatWhile these predictions warn us of dire
there is still the matter of sustainability in termscircumstances, there are experts who are
of paying off debts and job creation.optimistic about this year's prospects. While many
A Rise in Unemploymentpeople believe that a depression is looming in the
Unemployment rates will continue to rise asdistance, some experts say that the situation
businesses continue to take out loans to offsetwon't go that far. They even claim that the
hits in revenue. Also, even as the government haseconomy will start to recover by the middle of
taken steps towards infrastructure programs, itthe year.
will take some time before these plans takeStill, it is best to be conservative before making
effect. In the meantime, no new jobs areany moves that involve money such as
created. Experts project that unemploymentpurchasing a house or putting up a small business.
rates will reach more than 10 percent by the yearTo get a feel of how the economy is doing - if it
2010.is indeed, recovering -- people are advised to
Investors Continue to be Conservativewatch out for three indicators:
Businesses that are known for innovation, sound-Unemployment
consumer focus campaigns as well as havingRight now, many are still filing for unemployment
steady financial reserves will be stable this yearbut once the numbers reach below 400,000, this
although investors will continue to be conservativeis a sign that there might be better times ahead.
in their investments. The main concern for now is-Real Estate
pulling through the hard times, as opposed toReal estate inventory should be 10 months worth
exploring new markets. While some companies willfor the industry to be categorized as being in a
come up with better products to increasehealthy state.
revenues, others will go into mergers to avoid-Banks' Lending Behaviour
closing down due to bankruptcy.TED rates are a good indication to watch out for.
The Crisis Extends to Countries OverseasTED is the rate you get when you subtract the
The economic crisis isn't confined to the Unitedinterest rates banks impose on each other (on
States alone, rather it will continue to affect otherbank to bank lending) from the three month T-bill
countries, most notable of which are:rates. Once it goes below one percent, then credit
-Russiaprospects are starting to recover.
-China